http://www.shadowstats.com/charts_republish#emp
The Red line "official U3" is the current methodology for calculating unemployment. It is defined as the "Total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force".
The Gray line "BLS Broadest U6" is defined as the U3 + "U4: discourged workers - those who have stopped looking for work because of economic conditions make them believe that no work is available for them" + "U5: Marginally Attached Workers - those who 'would like' and are able to work, but have not looked for work recently" + "U6: Part time workers who want to work full time, but can not due to economic reasons".
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The SGS Alternate Unemployment Rate reflects current unemployment reporting methodology adjusted for SGS-estimated "discouraged workers" defined away during the Clinton Administration added to the existing BLS estimates of level U-6 unemployment.
Demnach ist die (absolute offizielle) Arbeitslosigkeit von 4% auf 8% nach oben geschnellt. Das zusätzliche bis U6 (graue Linie) kann man unter Teilzeitarbeiter und schwer vermittelbare subsumieren. Die blaue Linie als "alte Berechnungs-Methode" vor Clinton.
Das sieht nicht wirklich gut aus. Ob die Richtung beibehalten wird im März? Folgen?
Grüße
ALOA
